Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 518.045257 550.915571 585.076593 623.289878 664.916057 708.965266 759.207461
2026-01-04 472.981158 517.926011 566.507358 623.134418 687.594356 759.001488 844.523438
2026-01-11 444.994302 497.618722 556.142015 626.458438 709.191000 804.110342 922.221698
2026-01-18 421.800491 479.637815 545.442355 626.481790 724.466496 840.236508 989.067089
2026-01-25 405.684271 468.073470 540.487738 631.635697 744.568732 881.609019 1063.163276
2026-02-01 392.452302 458.686959 536.944135 637.402361 764.671188 922.953355 1138.630560
2026-02-08 381.489507 451.130971 534.759773 644.075578 785.463269 965.423635 1217.308485
2026-02-15 369.120775 441.022208 528.610031 644.960595 798.270903 997.549542 1283.436026
2026-02-22 357.793652 431.543145 522.573704 645.317844 809.889242 1028.091496 1348.587270
2026-03-01 348.711325 424.389527 518.985245 648.385740 824.835953 1063.381689 1422.036677
2026-03-08 338.606827 415.425851 512.541003 647.129022 833.499265 1090.001697 1484.118962
2026-03-15 330.085450 408.115805 507.843824 647.807864 844.555647 1120.147835 1552.838388
2026-03-22 321.678342 400.645209 502.620782 647.475176 854.061366 1148.416165 1620.447537
2026-03-29 313.884029 393.667726 497.719833 647.241632 863.478049 1176.739054 1689.637656
2026-04-05 307.977936 388.965872 495.641955 650.736389 878.238140 1213.479872 1774.319541
2026-04-12 301.207822 382.834389 491.327657 650.760869 887.705456 1242.426294 1847.963011
2026-04-19 296.710786 379.619094 490.861840 656.184021 905.302023 1284.583593 1946.278532
2026-04-26 292.684633 376.886668 490.912610 662.252852 923.992726 1329.235514 2051.865308
2026-05-03 289.185527 374.742398 491.660308 669.276930 944.323789 1377.403934 2167.008349
2026-05-10 283.932978 369.962662 488.460689 670.208574 955.047537 1410.299269 2257.003315
2026-05-17 278.770213 365.145105 485.022604 670.584651 964.789552 1441.896722 2346.750183
2026-05-24 274.714755 361.770530 483.535400 673.814384 979.142601 1481.859638 2455.109726
2026-05-31 269.505451 356.589365 479.229961 672.491340 985.934392 1509.070401 2540.859171